Overconfidence quotes:

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  • Incompetence annoys me. Overconfidence terrifies me. -- Malcolm Gladwell
  • Overconfidence comes from fear and doubt, and you boast an ego when you're feeling less than. -- Nikki Sixx
  • Incompetence is certainty in the absence of expertise. Overconfidence is certainty in the presence of expertise. -- Malcolm Gladwell
  • Overconfidence precedes carelessness. -- Toba Beta
  • Overconfidence blurs out the risk. Inferiority magnifies it. -- Toba Beta
  • Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • A certain death of an artist is overconfidence. -- Robin Trower
  • Doubt is not the enemy of justice; overconfidence is. -- Carol Tavris
  • Doubt is often better than overconfidence, for it leads to inquiry, and inquiry leads to invention. -- Hudson Maxim
  • The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • There's a lot of overconfidence about this bill. We're going to expose it. It will not pass. -- Jeff Sessions
  • To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful. -- Bill Walsh
  • I don't think there is a thing like overconfidence in chess. It's always better to be too confident than too reluctant. -- Magnus Carlsen
  • I'm very confident in what I do, but I'd like to think I don't ever show any kind of cockiness or overconfidence. -- David Wright
  • People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • Sometimes its difficult to accept, to recognise ones own mistakes, but one must do it. I was guilty of overconfidence and arrogance, and I was punished for that. -- Mikhail Gorbachev
  • Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • Self esteem is not the same as being self centered, self absorbed or selfish. Self esteem is also not complacency or overconfidence, both of which and set us up for failure. Self esteem is a strong motivator to work hard. Self esteem is related to mental health and happiness. -- Glenn R. Schiraldi
  • ... overconfidence in one's own ability is the root of much evil. Vanity, egoism, is the deadliest of all characteristics. This vanity, combined with extreme ignorance of conditions the knowledge of which is the very A B C of business and of life, produces more shipwrecks and heartaches than any other part of our mental make-up. -- Alice Foote MacDougall
  • The hedge fund known as "Long Term Capital Management" collapsed last fall through overconfidence in its highly leveraged methods, despite I.Q.'s of its principals that must have averaged 160. Smart people aren't exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence. Often, they just run aground in the more difficult voyages they choose, relying on their self-appraisals that they have superior talents and methods. -- Charlie Munger
  • In strategic decisions, I'd be really concerned about overconfidence. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence. -- Daniel Kahneman
  • In their leaders, advisers, and experts, people much prefer overconfidence, total certainty, to any kind of doubt. -- Michael Lewis
  • If overconfidence can cause the Roman Empire to fall, I ought to be able to get a ground ball. -- Dan Quisenberry
  • Sometimes it's difficult to accept, to recognise one's own mistakes, but one must do it. I was guilty of overconfidence and arrogance, and I was punished for that. -- Mikhail Gorbachev
  • I lull them into a false sense of security by watching me pitch... If overconfidence can cause the Roman Empire to fall, I ought to be able to get a ground ball. -- Dan Quisenberry
  • A very disturbing feature of overconfidence is that it often appears to be poorly associated with knowledge - that is, the more ignorant the individual, the more confident he or she might be. -- Robert Trivers
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